19 December 2016

My Notes on Cynefin Framework

These are my notes on Cynefin Framework. It is a very powerful framework. You can use it for any causal relationship modelling, decision making being one of them.




  • Categorization models:
    • Framework precedes data
  • Sense-making models:
    • Data proceeds framework
  • Three basic systems
    • Ordered Systems
    • Complex Systems
    • Chaotic Systems
  • +
  • New category: Disorder
  • Divide order into two
    • Simple
    • Complicated
  • Simple
    • Cause and effect relationships exist, are predictable and repeatable
    • Self-evident to any reasonable person
    • We apply best practice
    • Decision model: sense-categorize-respond (best practices)
  • Complicated
    • There is a relationship between cause and effect, there is a right answer but are not self-evident,
    • You need to apply an analytical method and sense-analyze response
    • Or call experts to make expertise
    • Decision model: good practices here, no best practices
    • Force to one practice and call it best practice make people pissed off
  • Complex
    • No causality
    • Light constraints on agents
    • Decision model: probe-sense-response
    • If experiment succeeds we amplify, if not dump it
    • We get emergent orders, novel practices
  • Chaotic
    • Deliberately ==> innovation
    • Accidentally, need to stabilise the model quickly
    • Decision model: act-sense-response
    • Any practice is novel
    • Dependent on which space you are, you need to think differently
  • Disorder
    • Not knowing which domain you are in
    • We interpret on a wrong basis
  • Dangers of getting used to each (e.g. in past life)
    • Simple
      • All problems as failure of process
    • Complicated
      • Problems are failure to give you enough time and resource
    • Complex
      • Is to get lots of different people with lots of different backgrounds
    • Chaotic
      • Absolute command to what they are told
  • How to use
    • Figure out which you are
    • And use the proper tool
  • Simple / Chaotic Cliff Edge - Beware
    • Start things are simple, and you believe in
    • You actively move to complacent zone that is you are falling over the edge to chaotic and the recovery is very expensive
    • Suggestion is to be in the complex/complicated zone, Simple is highly vulnerable to a violent journey
  • Cynefin:
    • Is a decision framework, analytical framework
    • Recognises causal differences between systems
    • Appropriate method for the appropriate domain

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cynefin_framework#/media/File:Cynefin_as_of_1st_June_2014.png

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