These are my notes on
Cynefin Framework . It is a very powerful framework. You can use it for any causal relationship modelling, decision making being one of them.
VIDEO
Categorization models:
Sense-making models:
Three basic systems
Ordered Systems
Complex Systems
Chaotic Systems
+
New category: Disorder
Divide order into two
Simple
Cause and effect relationships exist, are predictable and repeatable
Self-evident to any reasonable person
We apply best practice
Decision model: sense-categorize-respond (best practices)
Complicated
There is a relationship between cause and effect, there is a right answer but are not self-evident,
You need to apply an analytical method and sense-analyze response
Or call experts to make expertise
Decision model: good practices here, no best practices
Force to one practice and call it best practice make people pissed off
Complex
No causality
Light constraints on agents
Decision model: probe-sense-response
If experiment succeeds we amplify, if not dump it
We get emergent orders, novel practices
Chaotic
Deliberately ==> innovation
Accidentally, need to stabilise the model quickly
Decision model: act-sense-response
Any practice is novel
Dependent on which space you are, you need to think differently
Disorder
Not knowing which domain you are in
We interpret on a wrong basis
Dangers of getting used to each (e.g. in past life)
Simple
All problems as failure of process
Complicated
Problems are failure to give you enough time and resource
Complex
Is to get lots of different people with lots of different backgrounds
Chaotic
Absolute command to what they are told
How to use
Figure out which you are
And use the proper tool
Simple / Chaotic Cliff Edge - Beware
Start things are simple, and you believe in
You actively move to complacent zone that is you are falling over the edge to chaotic and the recovery is very expensive
Suggestion is to be in the complex/complicated zone, Simple is highly vulnerable to a violent journey
Cynefin:
Is a decision framework, analytical framework
Recognises causal differences between systems
Appropriate method for the appropriate domain
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